TriumphFX Intraday Forex Analysis – 1 Hour Charts – August 24, 2020

AUDUSD

As suggested in Friday’s chart analysis, price found support around the bullish channel support area.

The AUDUSD has been up-trending within a large bullish channel. Price is currently in a retrace phase and is looking indecisive. The moving averages have been crossing frequently and are currently moving sideways – confirming the market indecision. The AUDUSD could start ranging between 0.7140 and 0.7210.

Trading opportunities may exist around the support and resistance areas of the range, around the bullish channel support area and if price moves out of the range (break-out trade). A break to the upside could find resistance around the recent highs at 0.7270. A break to the downside could find support around 0.7115 and 0.7080.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut rates again in their April 2020 meeting. Rates were cut by a further 0.25%, bringing the official bank rate to 0.25% (a record low). Rates have since stayed the same. The current low rate is needed to help reduce the unemployment rate and stimulate the economy due to COVID-19 recession fears. The RBA will continue to monitor the labour market and inflation. Rates will not be raised until targets are met.

The Federal Reserve has announced a record breaking stimulus package, aimed at US households and employers. The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has unexpectedly cut rates by 150 points due to heightened concerns regarding the COVID-19 outbreak. The current Fed Funds rate is currently 0.25%, back at post-2008 levels. There is some concern that keeping rates low could cause greater issues in the US’ financial sector. The USD has been acting as a safe haven amid the COVID-19 outbreak. There are some concerns that the COVID-19 pandemic may hit the US hardest, causing a reversal of the recent USD strength.

There is no major scheduled news today that will directly impact this currency pair.

EURGBP

Price reversed around the diagonal support area, as suggested in Friday’s chart analysis.

The EURGBP is down-trending after being choppy and indecisive. The moving averages are bearish and steady, suggesting that the downside direction may continue.

Opportunities to go short could exist around the 61.8% Fib level and around the horizontal resistance at 0.9060. An attempt to swing lower may stall or reverse around the moving averages, around the recent lows at 0.8950 and around the diagonal support area.

The European Central Bank (ECB) continue to keep rates at the record low of 0.00%. Rates have not been cut into negative territory, despite the COVID-19 outbreak. Instead, the ECB has launched an asset buying program. Due to weak trade growth and economic forecasts, rates are likely to stay low for the foreseeable future. The COVID-19 pandemic is just another economic challenge for the Euro zone.

The Bank of England (BOE) has followed other central banks and has cut rates to combat economic challenges caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The UK interest rate is now set at 0.10% (a historic low). The UK has now left the EU, meaning that Brexit uncertainty should weigh less heavily on the Pound.

There is no major scheduled news today that will directly impact this currency pair.

EURUSD

The EURUSD has been bearish.

Price is moving withing a large consolidation area. Recent price action has been bearish though – the EURUSD has formed lower swing lows and lower swing highs. The moving averages are bearish and steady, signalling that the downtrend could continue.

Shorting opportunities may exist around the dynamic resistance of the moving averages and around the horizontal levels at 1.1830, 1.1880 and 1.1955. A bearish move could be rejected or reverse around the horizontal support levels at 1.1760, 1.1715 and 1.1705.

There is no major scheduled news today that will directly impact this currency pair.

GBPUSD

As suggested in Friday’s chart analysis, the GBPUSD has found support around the range support area and the diagonal support area.

Just like other USD pairs, the GBPUSD has been indecisive. Price is currently ranging between 1.3070 and 1.3255. The moving averages are moving sideways – confirming the market indecision.

Trading opportunities could exist around the support and resistance areas of the range and if the GBPUSD moves out of the range (break-out trade). A break to the downside may find support around the diagonal support area and around the horizontal support levels at 1.3050, 1.3015 and 1.2985.

There is no major scheduled news today that will directly impact this currency pair.

USDCAD

Price continues to be indecisive.

USDCAD is currently ranging between the recent lows at 1.3145 and the horizontal resistance at 1.3230. The moving averages are tight and moving sideways – confirming the current indecision.

Trading opportunities may exist around the support and resistance areas of the range and if USDCAD moves out of the range (break-out trade). A break to the upside could find resistance around 1.3265 and 1.3345.

The Bank of Canada (BOC) followed the US by slashing it’s benchmark interest rate. The intent of the rate cut is to help boost the economy during the COVID-19 pandemic. The current rate is now 0.25%. The economy is currently performing well and inflation targets are currently at their potential. If coronavirus fears deescalate, the BOC could increase rates again in the near future.

There is no major scheduled news today that will directly impact this currency pair.

USDCHF

Price has been moving sideways.

USDCHF is indecisive, just like other USD pairs. Price is moving within a large bearish channel. The moving averages confirm the market indecision – they are tight and moving sideways.

Trading opportunities could exist around the moving averages, around the support and resistance areas of the bearish channel and around the horizontal levels at 0.9015, 0.9060, 0.9150, 0.9195 and 0.9220.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) continues to keep rates at the all-time low of -0.75%. The Swiss economy continues to be stagnant. The economy was showing signs of positive momentum but COVID-19 is causing the economic to contraction. The Swiss Franc continues to be highly valued as a safe-haven currency. The SNB recently announced that it will continue to intervene with in foreign exchange markets but will likely keep rates unchanged until at least 2021.

There is no major scheduled news today that will directly impact this currency pair.

USDJPY

USDJPY has been moving sideways.

Price is looking indecisive. The moving averages are tight and moving sideways – confirming the current indecision.

Trading opportunities may exist around any of the identified horizontal levels at 105.15, 105.50, 106.10, 106.35 and 106.95.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues to keep interest rates at the record low of -0.10%. The Japanese economy is performing well and showing signs of expansion. COVID-19 recession fears could stunt economic growth though.

There is no major scheduled news today that will directly impact this currency pair.

XAUUSD